タイトル：How Peace Prevails: Insurgent Cohesion and Fragmentation in
Aceh, Indonesia
スピーカー: Dr. Yuhki Tajima (Georgetown University)
場所：京都大学東南アジア地域研究研究所稲盛財団記念館三階第2セミナー室
日時：2023年7月5日午後4時から5時半

要旨:
Why do some peace processes succeed while others fail? In the
aftermath of insurgent wars, peace agreements often fall apart during
their implementation when states or former insurgents pull back from
their commitments or when disaffected insurgents form splinter groups
to continue armed struggle. In this talk, I adopt an organizational
approach and argue that key variation in both the external and
internal negotiations can be explained by the internal governance of
insurgent organizations. In particular, insurgencies whose central
leadership enjoy greater direct, rather than indirect, control over
foot soldiers will be able to ensure greater internal cohesion,
allowing them to hold states more accountable and maintain internal
discipline of the rank-and-file by providing insurgent leaders with
the coercive leverage to better negotiate both externally and
internally. Unit-level variation within insurgencies in the degree of
direct control can explain variation in both the incidence of postwar
violence and the distribution of rents. In this chapter, I examine
original survey data from the Free Aceh Movement (GAM) in Indonesia to
show how such variation in direct control can explain postwar
variation in violence and rents, thereby allowing them to maintain
cohesion and implement their 2005 peace agreement with the Indonesian
government.

Yuhki Tajima氏について：
Dr. Yuhki Tajima is Director of the Asian Studies Program and
Associate Professor of Asian Studies and Political Economy in the
Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. He
is a Guest Scholar at the Center for Southeast Asian Studies at Kyoto
University and a Council on Foreign Relations-Hitachi Fellow. His
research examines peacebuilding, communal violence, ethnic politics,
the political economy of development, criminal gangs, and smuggling
with a particular focus on Indonesia and the Southern Philippines.